NFL Power Rankings

Rating is how many points better (+) or worse (−) a team is than an average team on a neutral field, adjusted for strength of schedule (SRS). Early in the season it leans on last season's rating. SoS is the average rating of opponents faced so far.

Picks blend an XGBoost model of point margin with the ratings. Spreads use betting convention (the favorite is shown with a minus). Vegas lines were captured when the picks were made. Starting-QB injuries are factored in (from the injury report and depth chart); picks update Tuesday and again Saturday after final injury designations. For fun, not betting advice.